Category Archives: Technical Analysis

technical analysis

(VIDEO) GBP/USD: How Elliott Wave Patterns Predicted Recent Drop Under 1.60

A great 6-minute video lesson in Elliott wave analysis of forex markets

By Elliott Wave International

Every Friday, the editor of EWI’s forex-focused Currency Specialty Service, Jim Martens, records a video update for his subscribers. Each video delivers a real-life lesson on Elliott wave application to forex markets.

Watch this 6-minute video Jim recorded on October 12. Jim called for cable (GBP/USD) to drop below 1.60 in wave 5 of the developing Elliott wave sequence.

Ten days later, on October 23, GBP/USD fell as low as 1.5925.


Download Your Free 14-page eBook: “Trading Forex: How the Elliott Wave Principle Can Boost Your Forex Success”

Here’s some of what you’ll learn:

  1. Which Elliott waves to trade
  2. Which Elliott waves set up your forex trade
  3. When your analysis is wrong
  4. Guidelines for projecting price targets
  5. How to evaluate an Elliott wave structure
  6. How to use the bigger picture to give you perspective on the market’s next major move

Jim also takes you through two real-world trading examples to reinforce what you’ve learned and apply it to your own trading.

All you need is a free Club EWI profile to download this FREE 14-page eBook now >>

This article was syndicated by Elliott Wave International and was originally published under the headline (VIDEO) GBP/USD: How Elliott Wave Patterns Predicted Recent Drop Under 1.60. EWI is the world’s largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts led by Chartered Market Technician Robert Prechter provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.

USD/JPY: Lemons into Lemonade

How Elliott wave analysis helps you as a forex trader with built-in, risk-defining safeguards
November 29, 2012

By Elliott Wave International

Elliott wave analysis is not a crystal ball. (No market-forecasting method is.)

But here’s what is remarkable: Even when your Elliott wave forecast doesn’t pan out, you have built-in safeguards to alert you — and help you manage risk. Here’s a real-life example.

Going into the November 14 low, USD/JPY charts had been showing an impulsive downward Elliott wave pattern. Impulses are 5-wave moves, but on November 13-14, the pattern looked incomplete: the fifth wave down seemed to be missing.

Here’s a chart our Currency Specialty Service subscribers saw early on November 13:

So, our analysis on November 13 suggested that USD/JPY would fall further. But USD/JPY just would not fall; instead, it went sideways.

That suggested to our Currency Specialty Service team that the wave (4) you see in the chart above was extending. Perhaps it was developing as another Elliott wave pattern — maybe a contracting triangle? This chart and analysis described to subscribers that scenario:

“A bearish fourth-wave triangle is another idea that’s in a position to yield new lows in wave (5). Resistance rests at 79.655/765.”

Note that line: “Resistance rests at 79.655/765” — it represents the very risk-defining safeguards I mentioned earlier.

How? Well, there are things that Elliott wave patterns just are not allowed to do. In a contracting triangle (an A-B-C-D-E formation), prices must stay within converging trendlines — and they cannot overlap the start of wave A, the origin of the pattern. Resistance at 79.655/765 was exactly that: the price point where the contracting triangle interpretation would be invalidated.

Practical application: If you were bearish on USD/JPY on November 14, you could have used the price area of 79.655/765 to manage your position risk.

As you probably know, USD/JPY did not go sideways for long. Nor did it go down. Soon after, it went higher and breached that key resistance level:

When one Elliott wave pattern ends, another one begins. As soon as that key resistance in USD/JPY was breached, a new road map for the Japanese yen became clear.


Download Your Free 14-page eBook: “Trading Forex: How the Elliott Wave Principle Can Boost Your Forex Success”

Here’s some of what you’ll learn:

  1. Which Elliott waves to trade
  2. Which Elliott waves set up your forex trade
  3. When your analysis is wrong
  4. Guidelines for projecting price targets
  5. How to evaluate an Elliott wave structure
  6. How to use the bigger picture to give you perspective on the market’s next major move

Jim also takes you through two real-world trading examples to reinforce what you’ve learned and apply it to your own trading.

All you need is a free Club EWI profile to download this FREE 14-page eBook now >>

This article was syndicated by Elliott Wave International and was originally published under the headline USD/JPY: Lemons into Lemonade. EWI is the world’s largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts led by Chartered Market Technician Robert Prechter provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.

EWI’s FOREX FreeWeek is now on: Get charts, analysis and forecasts for the dollar, euro, yen and more

Greetings,

Our friends at Elliott Wave International have just announced the start of their popular FreeWeek!

That’s where they throw open the doors for you to test-drive some of their most popular premium services — at ZERO cost to you.

You can access all the charts, analysis, videos and forecasts from EWI’s trader-focused Currency Specialty Service right now through noon Eastern time Wednesday, Oct. 24. This service is valued at $494/month, but you can get it free for one week only!

It is an exciting time of year for forex traders who are in the know:

  • There’s the upcoming Obama/Romney U.S. Presidential election
  • The “fiscal cliff” the U.S. might be standing on
  • And the ongoing European debt crisis

Wouldn’t you want to know where the currency markets are headed in the days and weeks ahead?

Don’t wait on “the fundamentals.” Elliott wave patterns are telling you — right now! — where the major forex markets should go soon. Find out now during EWI’s Forex FreeWeek!

Learn more and get instant access to EWI’s FreeWeek of FOREX analysis and forecasts now — before the opportunity ends for good.

Regards,

Alan

About the Publisher, Elliott Wave International
Founded in 1979 by Robert R. Prechter Jr., Elliott Wave International (EWI) is the world’s largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.

Basic Elliott Video Lesson – Characteristics of Zigzags

For consistent trading, use Elliott as your metronome.

By Elliott Wave International

When you are new to trading with Elliott Waves, it can take some time before each pattern is easy to recognize and understand. But as with new music, the more you listen the more the particular rhythm and meaning stand out.

There may be as many approaches to market forecasting as there are genres of music, yet once you find a style that you like — in trading or in tunes — the patterns that drive each move (whether it’s a pip or a note) become evident.

When it comes to Elliott Wave analysis, one of the foundational “beats” in any market is the zigzag. And when you’re just starting to find your trading groove, it’s important to understand how these corrective patterns unfold.

Last week you learned what the zigzag shape looks like, in contrast to the other sideways structures (if you missed it, watch here >>).

Now, take a look at the three types of zigzags — and, so that you don’t miss a beat, learn why double and triple zigzags exist.

(Note: If you are interested in getting a strong foundation in the Wave Principle, check out our free Elliott Wave Tutorial — find out how below.)

To be a consistently successful Elliott trader, you need to be able keep up with the rhythm of the market.

Ready to rock and roll?


If you are prepared to take the next step in educating yourself about the basics of the Wave Principle — access the FREE Online Tutorial from Elliott Wave International.

The Elliott Wave Basic Tutorial is a 10-lesson comprehensive online course with the same content you’d receive in a formal training class — but you can learn at your own pace and review the material as many times as you like!

Get 10 FREE Lessons on The Elliott Wave Principle that Will Change the Way You Invest Forever >>

This article was syndicated by Elliott Wave International and was originally published under the headline Basic Elliott Video Lesson — Characteristics of Zigzags. EWI is the world’s largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts led by Chartered Market Technician Robert Prechter provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.

How a Simple Line Can Improve Your Trading Success

Elliott Wave International’s Jeffrey Kennedy explains many ways to use this basic tool
May 21, 2012

By Elliott Wave International

The following trading lesson has been adapted from Jeffrey Kennedy’s eBook, Trading the Line — 5 Ways You Can Use Trendlines to Improve Your Trading Decisions. You can download the 14-page eBook here.

“How to draw a trendline” is one of the first things people learn when they study technical analysis. Typically, they quickly move on to more advanced topics and too often discard this simplest of all technical tools.

Yet you’d be amazed at the value a simple line can offer when you analyze a market. As Jeffrey Kennedy, editor of the new Elliott Wave Junctures service, puts it:

“A trendline represents the psychology of the market, specifically, the psychology between the bulls and the bears. If the trendline slopes upward, the bulls are in control. If the trendline slopes downward, the bears are in control. Moreover, the actual angle or slope of a trendline can determine whether or not the market is extremely optimistic or extremely pessimistic.”

In other words, a trendline can help you identify the market’s trend. Consider this example in the price chart of Google.

That one trendline — drawn between the lows in 2004 and the lows in 2005 — provided support for a number of retracements over the next two years.

That’s pretty basic. But there are many more ways to draw trendlines. When a market is in a correction, you can draw a trendline and then draw a parallel line: in turn, these two parallel lines can create a channel that often “contains” the corrective price action. When price breaks out of this channel, there’s a good chance the correction is over and the main trend has resumed. Here’s an example in a chart of Soybeans. Notice how the upper trendline provided support for the subsequent move.


For more free trading lessons on trendlines, download Jeffrey Kennedy’s free 14-page eBook, Trading the Line — 5 Ways You Can Use Trendlines to Improve Your Trading Decisions. It explains the power of simple trendlines, how to draw them, and how to determine when the trend has actually changed.

Download your free eBook >>

This article was syndicated by Elliott Wave International and was originally published under the headline How a Simple Line Can Improve Your Trading Success. EWI is the world’s largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts led by Chartered Market Technician Robert Prechter provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.

Complimentary eBook teaches you how to apply Moving Averages to your trading or investing

Dear Trader,

Elliott Wave International (EWI) has released a free 10-page trading eBook: How You Can Find High-Probability Trading Opportunities Using Moving Averages, bySenior AnalystJeffrey Kennedy.

Moving averages are one of the most widely-used methods of technical analysis because they are simple to use, and they work. Now you can learn how to apply them to your trading and investing in this free eBook. Let EWI’s Jeffrey Kennedy teach you step-by-step how moving averages can help you find high-probability trading opportunities.

Jeffrey’s trading eBooks have been downloaded thousands of times because he knows how to take complex trading methods and teach them in a way you can immediately understand and apply. You’ll be amazed at how quickly you can benefit from Moving Averages with just this quick, 10-page lesson.

Improve your trading and investing with Moving Averages!

Download Your Free eBook Now.

(Don’t miss out. )

Regards,

Alan

About the Publisher, Elliott Wave International
Founded in 1979 by Robert R. Prechter Jr., Elliott Wave International (EWI) is the world’s largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.

The 3 Most Accurate Forex Indicators

There are thousands of indicators that are used to find opportunities in the market and profit from them. However, most of them do not give good signals and will get you in the market late. In this article we will present several indicators which are the most accurate and give the biggest trading edge.

Indicator #1: The Bollinger Bands

The Bollinger Bands were developed 20 years ago by John Bollinger, and were designed to show the volatility of the market on the screen in an easy-to-comprehend manner. They give very good signals and can be used as support\resistance indicators, telling us – before the move occurs – that a reversal is prone to happen. When price touches the lower band it is oversold, and when price touches the upper band it is overbought.

The trading method for the Bollinger Bands is basically to look for price-action support and resistance levels, and confirm them with bounces on the Bollinger Bands themselves. This results in very high win rate and consistent profits.

Indicator #2: The Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The Relative Strength Index was developd 30 years ago by J. Welles Wilder, and is considered a powerful oscillator that also has a predictive edge in the markets. It tells us when the price is overbought\oversold before the trends begin, so we can enter early and have great reward with little risk. The signals it gives are usually very accurate, and if confirmed using the Thomas DeMark mild bounce system it can even reach 70-80% win rate (depending on the timeframe).

It is a very accurate indicator that we highly recommend.

Indicator #3: Simple Moving Average
The Simple Moving Average, or the SMA, is an interesting indicator that most traders do not use in the right way. Most traders use it as a trend-following indicator to enter trades after a trend has been established, however we use it in an entirely different way.

The most accurate and predictive way to use the SMA is in the bounce method: we wait for trend to establish, but instead of randomly entering, we wait for price to retrace to the moving average and bounce off it. Once a reversal signal is given we enter a trade in the direction of the trend with stop loss right below the moving average, thus entering at a tactical point with small stop loss and huge reward.

The 3 indicator described above are the most accurate indicators for trading Forex and stocks, and have proven themselves in countless opportunities.

Michael Wells is a trader and author, that focuses on Forex indicator trading and price-action to generate daily trading income.

Forex Market Insight: EUR/USD Rallies…Why?

Elliott wave patterns suggested a bullish reversal a day before the rally
February 23, 2012

By Elliott Wave International

On February 16, EUR/USD, the euro-dollar exchange rate and the most actively traded forex pair, surged over 170 pips, from below $1.30 to above $1.3150.

The explanations for the strong rally boiled down to “hopes” that the Greek bond-swap deal would be reached.

As we’ve pointed out before, explanations such as these make sense only in retrospect. They tell you nothing about tomorrow’s trend.

On February 15, while EUR/USD was still in the downtrend, Elliott Wave International’s forex-focused Currency Specialty Service posted the following intraday forecast:
EURUSD (Intraday)
Posted On: Feb 15 2012
1:28PM ET / Feb 15 2012 6:28PM GMT
Last Price: 1.3068

[Approaching a bottom]

The decline from 1.3322 looks mature, though there is no evidence it is complete. Allow for a dip below 1.3027 (to complete a flat correction) but we’re focusing on identifying the upcoming reversal. A rally in five waves at small degree would do the trick.

As expected, EUR/USD indeed dropped below $1.3027 before reversing upward on February 16.

The bullish February 15 forecast was based strictly on the Elliott wave pattern you see in the chart above. The converging trendlines labeled (i)-(ii)-(iii)-(iv)-(v) mark an ending diagonal triangle, which only forms when the trend gets exhausted, and a reversal is near.

This Elliott wave pattern warned one day before the EUR/USD rally began that the collective bias of the forex players about the euro would soon shift from bearish to bullish.

See our forex-focused Currency Specialty Service in action for yourself — FREE — during EWI’s Forex FreeWeek. Details below.


Now through noon Eastern time February 29, you can get a full week of FREE access to EWI’s trader-focused Currency Specialty Service (valued at $494/month).

That means you’ll get to see all the charts, analysis, videos and forecasts for the world’s most traded currency pairs — at ZERO cost to you!

Access FOREX FreeWeek now >>

This article was syndicated by Elliott Wave International and was originally published under the headline Forex Market Insight: EUR/USD Rallies…Why?. EWI is the world’s largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts led by Chartered Market Technician Robert Prechter provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.