Checkout this article written by Michael A. Jones regarding one of the oldest forex strategies employed by traders – the 200 EMA strategy.
–I quote–
A challenge facing many new traders when developing their forex strategy is the ability to identify the overall trend for intra-day trading.
The 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) can solve the problem.
The 200 EMA is one of the most popular indicators of all time with Forex traders the world over, and for that reason alone is worth noting due to the psychological effect on the market place price can have when hovering around the 200 EMA.
Using The 200EMA Strategy
To use this very powerful Forex strategy, create charts on 3 time frames:
- 4 hour
- 1 hour
- 15 minute
Now plot a 200 EMA indicator on each chart and, as a suggestion, color it red, for easy visual impact.
Preferably tile the 3 windows containing your 3 charts into a vertical fashion so you can see the 3 time frames next to each other. It will squeeze up the information on the charts somewhat but for the purpose of this strategy that doesn’t matter.
Now scroll through the various currency pairs you like to trade.
If you prefer to trade only pairs with a smaller pip spread, they amount to about 9.
They are:
- EUR/USD
- GBP/USD
- USD/CHF
- USD/JPY
- EUR/JPY
- USD/CAD
- AUD/USD
- NZD/USD
- EUR/CHF
What you are looking for is any currency pair that bucks the 200 EMA on the 15 minute chart.
So for example, look at the EUR/USD pair and note the position of price relative to the 200 EMA on the 3 time frames.
If price is well above the 200 EMA on the 4 hour chart, well above the 200 EMA on the 1 hour chart, but BELOW the 200 EMA on the 15 minute chart, price is bucking the trend.
The overall trend is up, price has temporarily gone against the trend and is currently in a retracement.
Using the fundamental trading principle of “buy the dips in an uptrend”, “sell the rallies in a downtrend”, look for a suitable entry point.
In the example given above you would look for an opportunity to buy the EUR/USD, perhaps watching for a candle signal that price has exhausted it’s downward momentum, bucking the 15 minute chart 200 EMA and will soon resume it’s upward momentum.
This is an easy exercise and it can be done once or twice a day, taking just a few minutes.
Watch For Price Bucking The Trend
Once you see price bucking the 200 EMA on the 15 minute chart, whereas it is on the opposite side on the 4 hour and 1 hour charts, sit up and take note. Watch carefully and grab the opportunity to get in and make some pips.
After a little practice you will see how extremely powerful this simple Forex strategy is – certainly deserving a place in your trading tool kit.
–end quote–
Source: http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Michael_A._Jones
Holy crap! Ibacktested this system and I think you have a winner here. In just the last 30 days there was a possible 650-800 alone!
Thanks again!
🙂 good stuff…now that you mentioned that I’m going to hunt down an EA so I can backtest this system going back 4-6 years
Would you mind sharing your performance statement…I’d like to attach it to this posting.
Or alternatively feel free to start a thread in the forex section of my forum:
http://www.moneyguruforum.com/forex/
I think the best spot for the thread would be here:
http://www.moneyguruforum.com/forex/trading-systems/
I have a son who has decided to change careers and learn currency trading. He is learning it on his own. Being a rather intelligent person to begin with, he took an online course and has begun trading from home. Is there any other additional means of learning he should pursue given your experiences? Thank you.
John
John please do not post SEO links in comments.
Well your son can either take a whole bunch of courses and hopefully get somewhere or learn things on his own via free online sources and various books. This is the way I learned forex; sort of learn as you go type of deal.
I’d also recommend your son visit various forex forums and absorb as much useful free content as possible. I have a forex forum of my own that I’d like to invite your son to checkout. I think he will enjoy the friendly atmosphere.
http://www.forexnirvana.com
Cheers,
Alan